« The iPod subway mugging that wasn't |
Main
| Sumner Redstone's big payday »
May 31, 2005
Technology wagers for the gambler in all of us
Posted by Dominic Basulto
MIT Technology Review has been sponsoring Innovation Futures, a "predictive marketplace" focused on technological innovation as it relates to economic growth. It's similar in nature to the futures markets for political elections, which claim to predict the outcomes of elections with uncanny precision. If enough people believe it's true -- and are willing to put their money where their mouth is, it must be true... Or something like that. Anyway, it's worth checking in now and then to see how popular sentiment is shifting:
64% predict that more than 7.0 million satellite radio receivers will ship in 2005
53% think that approximately 15% of US households will have an HDTV by the end of 3Q05
44% think that SIRIUS will have between 2.5 million and 3.0 million subscribers by the end of 2005
36% of those polled believe that there will be 2.51 million to 2.75 million VoIP US subscribers by the end of 2005
Comments (0)
+ TrackBacks (0) | Category: Big Thinkers
- RELATED ENTRIES
- › East Village bar up for sale on eBay
- › Eliot Spitzer takes on the national cinema chains
- › California winemakers to sell wine to New Yorkers via the Internet
- › A blogger could become "Media Person of the Year"
- › A la carte cable TV pricing
- › NYSIA Incubator launch party tonight
- › Why the mathematics of congestion pricing don't work
- › Enjoy the holiday shopping bargains at Century 21 while you can
TrackBack URL:
http://www.corante.com/cgi-bin/mt/external.cgi/31267